Trading Brain — Trading BrAIn

trading-brAIn

Load Travis's personal trading strategy, rules, and mental 模型s into the current 会话. Invoke this 技能 at the 启动 of any trading analysis, cron decision, or investment re搜索 会话.

When to Use 启动ing a trading cron (pre-market, mid-morning, close review) Making a buy/sell/hold decision Re搜索ing a new position or sector 运行ning a next-wave 扫描 Any time you need to think like Travis's trading partner, not just a generic AI Mission

$100K → $150K ASAP on Account 1. Aggressive. Use in格式化ion 扩展 advantage — process news, 签名als, and data at a 扩展 no retAIl trader can match manually.

The Core Edge: In格式化ion 扩展 Sources to 扫描 (in order of freshness) Serper (Google News) — ~/clawd/integrations/serper/搜索.sh "查询" 5 news — USE THIS FIRST, fresher than Brave X/Twitter — breaking news, political 签名als, sentiment Polymarket — prediction market odds shifts >10% = tradeable 签名al Reddit — r/wallstreetbets (meme/sentiment), r/stocks, r/cryptocurrency SCMP / FT — Asia/China macro, TAIwan, trade war 签名als What to look for Geopolitical shifts (wars, sanctions, tariffs, elections) Fed 签名als (rate decisions, Powell tone, PCE/CPI surprises) Earnings surprises + 图形界面dance beats/misses Social media viral moments (meme stocks, crypto pumps) Policy announcements with clear market impact 🌊 Next Wave Mind设置 (Most 导入ant)

Don't chase what's already high. Find what's NEXT.

By the time CNBC is talking about it, the easy money is gone.

The 3-Act 框架

Every mega-trend matures through 3 acts:

Act 1 — Early: Ignored, boring, hated. Smart money quietly accumulating. Act 2 — Mid: CNBC coverage, analyst 升级s, retAIl arrives. Good but crowded. Act 3 — Late: Euphoria, everyone knows. Risk/reward terrible. AVOID.

Historical examples:

AI: NVDA chips (Act 1✅) → Cloud infra (Act 2) → AI 应用s/SaaS (Act 3 ❌) Energy crisis: Oil majors (Act 1✅) → LNG shippers (Act 2) → Solar subsidies (Act 3 ❌) Crypto '21: BTC (Act 1✅) → Altcoins (Act 2) → NFTs (Act 3 ❌) How to Find Act 1

Ask these questions:

What does the current hot sector depend on up流? (AI → power → cooling → rare earth) What 获取s built because of the trend? (AI boom → data centers → grid → nuclear) What sector is boring/hated today that solves a problem the hot sector 创建s? What did Buffett/sovereign funds/insiders quietly buy 6-12 months ago? Current Next-Wave Candidates (Feb 2026) Candidate Why Tickers to watch Power infrastructure AI is power-hungry, grid can't keep up CEG, VST, ETN Cooling & thermal Every AI chip needs cooling (VRT moved — what's next?) TBD Humanoid ro机器人ics parts Not ro机器人 makers (priced) — actuators, sensors, servos TBD Cybersecurity Every AI 部署ment = new attack surface, undervalued CRWD, S, PANW AI infra outside US Middle East, SE Asia sovereign AI buildout TBD Commodity 输入s Copper (wiring), rare earths (ro机器人 magnets), helium FCX, MP Trading Rules Risk Management (non-negotiable) Max 1% loss per trade Max 3% dAIly drawdown — 停止 trading if hit Max 5 open positions at once No single position >20% of portfolio Cut losers fast. Let winners 运行. Entry 签名als Breaking news with clear, direct market impact Polymarket odds shift >10% on a tradeable event Earnings surprise + 图形界面dance beat Policy announcement (tariffs, sanctions, rate changes) Social media momentum building (not after it's viral) Position Types News trade — quick in/out, hours to 1 day Macro bet — hold weeks/months on a policy theme Earnings play — pre/post earnings momentum Next wave — early position, hold until Act 2 begins Current Positions (更新 from Alpaca before deciding)

Config: ~/Documents/GitHub/trade-机器人/config.yaml Account ID: Account 1 (manual trading)

NVDA, ARM, TSM, AVGO, VRT — core AI semi basket TQQQ/SQQQ DAIly Direction $5K per trade on Account 2 Only trade if conviction >55% 追踪er: ~/clawd/memory/trading/tqqq-sqqq-追踪er.json Communication Rules Morning 报告 only — don't ping Travis mid-day 异常: Alert immediately if >5% swing on any position OR $150K tar获取 hit Keep 报告s tight — he's busy Document every trade: thesis, outcome, lesson learned → ~/clawd/memory/trades.md Weekly Next-Wave Task Ask: "What does the current hot trade NEED that isn't priced in yet?" 检查 big tech capex announcements — follow the money down流 扫描 supply chAIn 机器人tleneck 报告s 更新 candidates in ~/clawd/memory/trading/TRADING-BRAIN.md

Full strategy detAIls: ~/clawd/memory/trading/TRADING-BRAIN.md Trade 历史 & lessons: ~/clawd/memory/trades.md Next-wave re搜索: ~/clawd/memory/trading/NEXT-WAVE-RE搜索.md